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Philadelphia 76ers center Joel Embiid is currently the favorite to win the 2023-24 NBA MVP award, with Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic closely behind him. Embiid, who is the reigning NBA MVP, has seen his odds shorten from +250 to +210. He has been on an impressive streak, recording at least 30 points and 10 rebounds in 15 consecutive games, breaking a franchise record previously held by Wilt Chamberlain. This streak is the longest of its kind since Kareem Abdul-Jabbar achieved it in 16 straight games during the 1971-72 season. However, it's worth noting that NBA MVP odds can fluctuate throughout the season, and it's always a good idea to check reputable sportsbooks for the most up-to-date information.
Nevertheless, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the standout guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder, is posting impressive statistics of his own and has firmly entered the competition for the NBA's most esteemed individual accolade.
Only three players stand out to me early as possibly actionable MVP bets to make for the upcoming season.
PICK: Jayson Tatum (+800 at time of pick) to win MVP (Celtics)
With their consistent appearances in the conference finals over the past six years, the Boston Celtics are among the teams I believe have a strong chance of winning the NBA championship, and a significant factor behind their potential success is Jayson Tatum. I see the trade involving Marcus Smart as a beneficial move for both the Celtics and Tatum. This trade will allow the 25-year-old Tatum to step up as the true leader of the team, a role that Smart has held since entering the league.
Throughout his career, Tatum has shown continuous improvement in points, rebounds, and assists each year. In the previous season, he achieved career-high averages of 30 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists per game. Tatum has also received first-team All-NBA honors in the last two seasons. Based on his performance, I have high expectations that Tatum will not only win the MVP award but also lead the Celtics to an NBA championship.
PICK: Nikola Jokic (+430 at time of pick) to win MVP (Nuggets)
The player who has won the MVP award twice is coming off an NBA championship, being named the Finals MVP, and is widely regarded as the top player in the NBA. He is considered the frontrunner for a third MVP title, largely due to an exceptional playoff performance where he averaged 30 points, 12 rebounds, and 9 assists over 20 games, while also shooting an impressive 46% from beyond the arc. Given these achievements, it seems logical to place a bet on him.
However, it is difficult to measure his motivation now that he has already secured a championship and has an impressive collection of trophies. With nothing left to prove, there is a possibility that he may conserve his energy during the regular season to prioritize his performance in the postseason. We witnessed this strategy towards the end of the previous season, which ultimately proved successful. Regardless, considering he is widely regarded as the best player in the game, it's worth taking a chance on him.
PICK: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+1700 at time of pick) to win MVP (Thunder)
If I'm searching for a dark horse candidate to win the MVP award next season, my pick would be SGA. At just 25 years old, he is coming off an outstanding season where he achieved a career-high average of 31 points per game and was recognized as a first-team All-NBA player.
Before dismissing this choice, it's important to consider that the Sacramento Kings showed a significant improvement of 18 wins last year. Additionally, the Oklahoma City Thunder could be a team to watch as they aim to build on their play-in appearance from the previous season, especially with the addition of Chet Holmgren to their starting lineup. With these potential factors in mind, SGA could emerge as a strong contender for the MVP title.